Q: when will it break?
A: when it wants too
For early this week the line in the sand looks like 854-855 for the spx....it "could" find support here, if it does NOT...then the momentum has likely shifted for a little while (ie a few days or a few weeks?) to the down side.......if it does find support there, the wedge might likely live another day, so a bounce off that price "could" be very likely....(for those of us who went net short over the weekend, perhaps a good profit trimming area)
The nasdaq's looks like 1633-1635